Free Horse Racing System

This Free Horse Racing System utilises the information contained in the Mirror Racing pages

This Free Horse Racing System utilises the information contained in the Mirror Racing pages.

 

Eight factors provided by the Mirror make up the rating process, what we are looking for is a consensus from the factors in order to provide the best bets of the day. But there is flexibility within the rating method that enables the backer to pick and choose the type of selection and odds.

The type of race selected for rating purposes, is as always, very important but every race type can be rated by this method.

 

The Eight factors used are Form Figures, Forecast, the Tips of Newsboy and Bouverie, Strongly Fancied and Fancied selections plus the EW tip if enough runners, the Spotform selection and finally the Speed Horse selection for the day.

 

This Free Horse Racing System allocates points in the following way……

Free Horse Racing System

First we have the Form Figures, (use current seasons form only) from the last three runs award 3 points if a horse has at least one win and 2 places so for example form figures such as 111, 213,112, 311 etc receive 3 points. (Placed meaning in the first 3)

 

2 points are awarded for 2 wins from the last 3 runs, the 2 wins can be in any order, 141, 811, 117, so even if the last run was unplaced but 2 wins came before it, award 2 points.

Award 1 point for a win last time out but previous runs contain a placed effort and/or unplaced run, such as, 421, 001, 251 etc.

1 point is given for 3 placed efforts, 222, 232, 333 or any other combination of place order.

Half a point is given for 2 placed efforts from the last 2 outings.

Half a point is awarded for a win that was not last time out but in the previous 2 runs and with no placed efforts, 100, 414, 010.

It sounds a little complicated but an example will make things clear.

 

The Forecast, 2 points for the forecast Favourite if joint favourites award both 2 points, the 2nd, 3rd and 4th in the betting each receive 1 point and the 5th in the betting receives half a point.

The Tips of Newsboy and Bouverie each receive 1 point and their Naps receive 2 points.

The Strongly Fancied selection gets 2 points whilst the Fancied selection and the Each Way selections receive 1 point.

The top rated horse (Spotform) gets 1 point and finally the Speed horse selection for the day receives 1 point.

 

With the ratings done we have narrowed down the field to just 2 runners, there is ample room to apply your betting style when selecting from either the Top Rated or 2nd rated runner.

 

In essence what we have done is root out the very best of the Papers selections for the day.

This process provides a structure to ones betting and although there is no substitute for form study, the Tipsters would have done this for us.

 

You can choose to rate every race being run that day or go straight to your favourite type of race.

Selecting the right type of race is obviously very important, Non Handicaps with upto 10 runners prove best for this type of rating.

 

If you’re a fan of the Placepot, putting in some of the 2nd and 3rd rated runners can make a very effective perm.

 

Here’s an example of the free horse racing system in action.

1

1.15 Newbury Grade 2 Chase

 

Form

Horse

Tips

Spotform

Rating

641

Cornas

2 tips +Fancied

55

5

F20

Tchico Polos

-

59

2

21-0

French Opera

Strongly Fancied

64* Top Rated

4

640

Oiseau De Nuit

-

54

0

03-4

Sports Line

-

58

0

3-24

Take The Breeze

-

57

0

040

I’msingingtheblues

-

62*

0.5

Betting Forecast 11/4 Tchico Polos, 3/1 French Opera, 4/1 Cornas, 13/2 Sports Line, 15/2 I’msingingtheblues.

 

The Top Rated Cornas received 1 point for being 3rd in the Forecast, 1 point for a win last time out, 1 point for each Tip and being Fancied giving a rating of 5, French Opera received 1 point for being 2nd in Forecast, 2 points for being Strongly Fancied and 1 point for being Spot form Top Rated = 4 points.

Tchico Polos received only 2 points, being the Forecast Favourite.

It’s interesting to note that only 1 other runner (I’msingingtheblues) gets to within 3 points of French Opera’s rating of 64.

There seems to be a deal of mixed messages being sent by the horse racing system points and Spotform but as Cornas started at 7/1 there could be a case made for backing both the system horses to show a profit.

 

The Result

 

1st French Opera 7/2

2nd Tchico Polos 5/2f

 

Another example, this time from Ascot, the Betfair Ascot Chase (Grade 1)

 

Form

Horse

Tips

Spotform

Rating

-2F

Big Fella Thanks

 

67

0.5

-3U

Deep Purple

Fancied

71*

2

155

Gauvain

 

67

0.5

-1

Pride of Dulcote

 

66

2

500

Racing Demon

 

-

0

-12

Riverside Theatre

2 Tips + Strongly Fancied

72* Top Rated

7.5

311

Tartak

 

68

4

Betting Forecast 15/8 Riverside Theatre, 9/4 Pride of Dulcote, 11/2 Tartak, 7/1 Deep Purple, 10/1 Big Fella Thanks, 12/1 Gauvain

 

Riverside Theatre tops the ratings and this is a good example of a horse being awarded half a point for its form figures, from his 2 previous runs his win was not last time out so he receives half a point ( if his form figures would have been the other way round 21 he would have received a full point for a last time out win) Forecast Favourite = 2 pts, 2 Tips = 2pts, SF = 2pts and Spotform top rated = 1pt.

Tartak was second rated on 4pts, 1 pt for the Forecast and 3 pts for his form figures (just use the highest form figure point allocation, so in this case Tartak receives 3 points but not an additional 2 points for 2 wins in his last 3 runs)

Gauvain receives half a point for that one win.

 

Note once again that Spotform is pointing you in the direction of a real form horse in Riverside Theatre, only Deep Purple gets to within 3 points, but note also an unrated horse in the form of Racing Demon lurking in the field.

 

Result

 

1st Riverside Theatre 11/10

2nd Gauvain 14/1

Example 3 from the same Wincanton card Hurdle (Grade 2)

Example 3 from the same Wincanton card Hurdle (Grade 2)

 

Form

Horse

Tips

Spotform

Rating

113

Silviniaco Conti

 

61*

4

333

Celestial Halo

 

60

1.5

212

Overturn

1 Tip Fancied

64* Top Rated

7

521

Mille Chief

1 Tip Strongly Fancied

62*

6

120-

Ronaldo Des Mottes

 

58

1

Betting Forecast Evens Mille Chief, 9/4 Overturn, 5/1 Silviniaco Conti, 14/1 Ronaldo Des Mottes, 16/1 Celestial Halo

 

A tight looking race on paper. Overturn (1 point for Forecast,3 points for form fig’s, 1 Tip and Fancied + Top Rated) on 7 points just heads Mille Chief on 6 points for top spot. Spotform rate 3 out of the 5 runners with chances on form with Celestial Halo just on the other side of the radar rated 60.

 

Result

 

1st Mille Chief 15/8

2nd Celestial Halo 8/1

 

When assessing a race for rating purposes Spotform is a useful key point, the ratings work best with well established form (The philosophy of Spotform is that whatever a horse has achieved in the past it is capable of repeating given the right circumstances) young horses in their sphere often are poorly rated because of the lack of evidence which the ratings depend on.

 

Look for races where less than a third of the field come within 3 points of the top rated horse (ideally just 3 or 4) but be wary of runners with no rating or with 3 or less lifetime runs.

Because of a lack of space some cards are cut short where form figures are concerned, check online if you have the time or maybe give the meeting a wide berth.

More ideas, methods and systems that may be of use.
And here is the Racing Paper Chase the opportunity to discover the information the bookmakers would rather you did not know.



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