Class Rating

We can use the class structure to form a Class Rating for each horse.

The most reliable form comes from exposed runners, horses with 6 or more career runs under their belt or horses with only a few runs but have shown the ability and willingness to win,we can give a Rating to a horse and add a sign "p" to note Progressive or improving. The will to win is synonymous with high quality horses but just as there are horses with high ability that rarely visit the winners enclosure there are horses that given a chance in their right grade have that will to win and that is what forming a class rating is all about, finding the right horse with proven winning form, racing in its true grade.

Use your chosen form rating service to see whether the quality horse is considered on form to have a leading chance, the list is populated with current form horses but there may be class/form runners coming back from a break who run well fresh which merit respect.

Runners with a “?” mark indicate a rating which might be suspect and needs confirming with more racecourse evidence. A “pp” stands for a highly progressive type.

Runners given a "u" are considered unreliable/inconsistent.

"h" stands for rating based mainly on hurdles form.

No adjustment should be made for weight, excepting where you find a runner that has failed to carry 9st or more on previous occasions or where soft ground can make carrying a heavy burden too much for a horse.

Class Ratings


This is another way to form class ratings based on prize money, usually the order of merit is found by simply ranking the runners in order by highest prize money with the top prize money earner being top rated.

As a basic rule of thumb this works fairly well but if you take a closer look at the prize money distribution in a race there are many cases where a runner is far better than any other contestant in the field or conversely a horse may be ranked 4th in the field but in actual fact is way behind the top 3 rated on prize money earned.

Where moderate races are concerned a contestant may be ranked on top but in essence many of the runners will have similar amounts of prize money earned over the course of their careers and a simple ranking would not reflect the fact that many of the runners are of the same ability.

We can formulate a rating based on the average amount of prize won for each runner in the race, so we switch from ranking to awarding points based on the distribution of prize money within the race itself. Points can range from 0 to 10, what we have to do next is form thresholds based around the average prize money for the race, for instance the average prize money for the race would be awarded 5 points out of 10, any runner 0.81 to 1.20 around the average would be awarded 5 pts.

2.01 +

10 points

1.81 to 2.00

9

1.61 to 1.80

8

1.41 to 1.60

7

1.21 to 1.40

6

0.81 to 1.20

5

0.61 to 0.80

4

0.41 to 0.60

3

0.21 to 0.40

2

Less than 0.21

1

Maiden

The race example below shows the awarding of points based on 0.20 increments around the average prize money.

Runner

Avg PM

Points

A

17903

1.8

8

B

9039

0.91

5

C

3515

0.35

2

D

17818

1.79

8

E

15068

1.51

7

F

16294

1.64

8

G

3372

0.34

2

H

4236

0.43

3

I

2426

0.24

2



The average prize money for the race is 9963.7, runner A obtained its rating by dividing 17903 by 9963.7 = 1.7968, round this figure to the nearest 2 decimal figures when using the class rating table.

The average prize money figures are based on winning prize money hence maidens receive no points, some may well prefer to use placed prize money along with the average winnings.

Rather than a simple ranking system we have ratings which reflect the scale of any difference in class measured on a 0 to 10 scale, we are now in a position to use another scale of 0 to 10 reflecting the factors in racing we like to use the most i.e. Trainer and Jockey form, the current form of a horse as well as the usual course, distance and prevailing going conditions.

The race example above indicates runners A,D,E and F as a cut above the others on class, adding the factor points onto the class points may well indicate an out-standing betting opportunity.



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